Friday, 26 September 2008

Tips For Currency Trading By ForexGen


Forex Trading: How To Succeed In It?
Forex is the centre stage on which a majority of forex trading and currency trading takes place with daily currency turn-over worth over $1.2 trillion.
Forex or Foreign exchange originated in 1973 and since then it is the most prolific and largest finance exchange market in the world. It is the centre stage on which a majority of forex trading and currency trading takes place with daily currency turn-over worth over $1.2 trillion.
These currencies are primarily traded between commercial banks, central banks, international non-banking corporations, private investors, hedge funds and speculators. In previous years, medium and small investors could not participate in forex trading due to the huge amounts of deposits required but due to rise of competition and growth of Internet, they also take part in it on a large part.
The major factors why more and more smaller and medium sizes investors are getting attracted towards forex trading are that because it operates for 24 hours a day and 5 day a week and as it was previously done through phone only, now it can be done conveniently and continuously through Internet across the globe.



No doubt, direct forex market is one of the most thrilling markets for the investors and at the same time it is potentially lucrative. The main punch is to know when to trade your cash, which free forex trade alerts can tell you. These alerts notify the traders when it is time to carry out a trade.
It has to be remembered that direct forex market remains open 24 hours per-day and the traders cannot stick to the computer all day, and at the same time they will not also want to lose any opportunity of trading either. In that case, free forex trade alerts notify the traders whenever it is the right time to hit a cord via SMS or e-mail.
Due to the unstable nature of the forex trading, the traders need to stay informed about the ups and downs of the market, which can be done with the help of forex trade alerts without the need to stick to the computers all day long.



Many investors believe in no deal desk forex which means that they prefer to go to ECN brokers rather than trading through deal desks. Some also use deal desk in which their desk takes the role of a sole market builders and takes on all the short and long positions. There are some risk measures of this approach as the dealers will know about your identity and you do not have the option to enter between ask and the bid.



Although most people prefer to go through an ECN model, the deal desk approach can also work well if the traders trade at a capitalized firm without several relationships of deep liquidity. The main thing is that you have everything about the platform, dealing firm and trading set-up perfect for all your needs and requirements.



But still it is not wise to take risks and a no deal desk forex approach is more preferable and advisable. You must make sure that the firm you are trading at is solid so that you can withdraw the money by the end. It is a good thing to research on your prospective forex brokers before deciding which approach to choose.


Thursday, 4 September 2008

Daily Financial Market Outlook | ForexGen


News this morning should show that UK house prices continued to fall sharply, at least on the measures from the Nationwide and Halifax, less so from other mortgage brokers or property agents. And the government's announcement yesterday will do little to alter the path of the housing market. A correction is underway from very high prices in the UK to less high prices - though still overvalued on most metrics.


So this is one reason why the MPC is very unlikely to want to cut rates at today's meeting - it would do little to prevent what they see as a necessary housing market correction from taking place. But the main reason why they will not cut, despite the UK economy coming to a standstill in Q2, is that inflation is too high. Not only is it well above the 2% target, but it is still accelerating. The ECB also meet today and are equally unlikely to cut rates, though the eurozone economy shrank by 0.2% in Q2. In fact, the ECB has raised rates this year (July), even though the economy showed signs of weakening.


WHAT IS THE RISK FOR THE ECB? | ForexGen


In yesterday's Daily Currency Focus, we said that the 1.45 level was significant support in the EUR/USD.A break below that level would have opened the door for a move down to 1.42. Even though the EUR/USD did take out the support to hit an intraday low of 1.4385, what was more impressive was the currency pair's reversal. The close back near today's high reflects strength rather than weakness.


The European Central Bank interest rate decision is the wildcard tomorrow.The recent decline in the Euro suggests that the market is expecting the ECB to be dovish despite their clearly hawkish rhetoric. Traders are looking at the price of oil and the recent Eurozone economic data and drawing the conclusion that the ECB can no longer be stubbornly hawkish.Second quarter growth and retail sales were both weaker than expect.Although service sector PMI was revised higher, it still remains in contractionary territory.


Keeping interest rates on hold at 4.25 percent is a given, but Euro bears may be disappointed by Trichet's press conference.If the ECB is dovish, it would be in line with the recent price action in the Euro, so the risk is hawkishness.The ECB is not a central bank to fade – their job is to stabilize the economy and not to induce volatility.If they say that they are hawkish, there is no reason to doubt them.Recent comments from members of the Governing Council indicate that even though economic growth is slowing, the ECB expects activity to pick up next year.With a strict inflation mandate, they are much more worried about inflation feeding into wage and price setting behavior. Before shifting their stance, they may want to see oil prices remain at current levels for at least another month.

Bank Of Canada On Hold | ForexGen


Commodity-price swings will continue to trigger further volatility in the currency, but the Canadian dollar will struggle to extend the near-term recovery beyond the 1.05 level.
The Canadian dollar weakened to lows around 1.0770 against the US dollar ahead of the Bank of Canada interest rate decision on Wednesday which was a 12-month low for the Canadian unit.
There had been some speculation over a cut in
rates which pushed the currency weaker, but the bank left rates on hold at 3.0%. The bank also indicated that it was comfortable with the current accommodative stance and suggested that rates would not be cut in the near term. The Finance Ministry was also generally optimistic over the Canadian fundamentals
Following the decision, there was a sharp short-covering rally for the currency which pushed the Canadian dollar stronger to highs beyond the 1.06 level against the
US dollar. The Canadian currency retained a firm tone on Thursday with a move towards 1.0550 as the US currency retained a more defensive tone.

BOE TO LEAVE RATES UNCHANGED, UK FIRMS ON FIRE SALE | ForexGen


The British pound continued to sell off despite an improvement in service sector PMI.The UK economy is weak, but it is encouraging that manufacturing, construction and service sector PMI all improved in the month of August.This suggests that even though growth is continuing to contract, the pace of deterioration may be slowing.


Consumer confidence remains at a 4 year low, but the recent decline in the British pound and the drop in oil prices should help to boost growth.The 12 percent decline in the British pound has put UK firms on a fire sale.We expect M&A activity to pick up, which could help to temporarily stabilize the currency.
The Bank of England is expected to leave
interest rates unchanged at 5.00 percent.With the economy slowing and inflationary pressures easing, the next move by the central bank should be a rate cut.The market is currently pricing in 75bp of easing over the next 12 months and because of that, we still expect the GBP/USD to break 1.75.Usually when the BoE leaves rates unchanged, no statement is released, which mean that the action should be in the EUR/USD tomorrow on the heels of Trichet's press conference.